Business Trends & Markets: Key Insights from India & Global Markets – August 4, 2025

Indian Markets: Rebound Amid Trade Tensions and Strategic Reforms
Sensex surged over 200 pts and Nifty50 climbed past 24,600 today as investor sentiment improved following global cues and positive sector gains in auto and metals
The Economic Times
The Times of India
. Despite recent weakness driven by U.S. tariff announcements on Indian goods, markets rallied early in the week with early gains settling into a near-flat trend as caution prevailed
Reuters
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Business Standard
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India Today
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Important triggers at home include:
The RBI’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting started August 4, with a policy decision due on August 6
Business Standard
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India Today
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mint
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Analysts widely expect a hold on rates, with inflation cooling at ~1.5% in July and downward pressure from weaker global cues
India Today
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In industry news, SEBI announced structural reforms in India’s derivatives market, focusing on protecting retail investors in the wake of manipulation allegations involving Jane Street. The intent: greater fairness, transparency, and reduced participation by app-driven young traders
Reuters
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Financial Times
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Stocks in Focus & Broker Picks
Market analysts and brokers spotlighted several names:
Motilal Oswal recommends Suzlon (target ₹82, ~24% upside) and Bharat Electronics (BEL) (target ₹490, ~30% upside) as top picks for the week starting August 4
The Times of India
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Sumeet Bagadia (Choice Broking) highlighted breakout buys like Supreme Petrochem, Best Agrolife, Cupid, Radico Khaitan, and Advanced Enzyme Technologies—each accompanied by advised entry levels, targets, and stop‑losses
mint
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Other stocks to watch included ITC, Tata Power, Federal Bank, Hero MotoCorp, and Tata Motors, especially after Q1 results and broker commentary drove mixed sentiment ﹘ Federal Bank saw a ~5% drop post profit downgrade, while Delhivery surged to a 52‑week high following solid quarterly results
Business Standard
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Business Standard
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Global Market Trends & Risk Factors
Global equities wobbled as markets reacted to a shockingly weak U.S. jobs report for July—only ~73,000 new jobs added, fueling rate-cut speculation by the Federal Reserve
AP News
. The S&P 500 fell 1.6%, Nasdaq dropped 2.2%, and Dow Jones lost 1.2%, while S&P futures rallied moderately (up ~0.4%) with Asia markets showing mixed reactions— gains in Korea and Hong Kong, losses in Japan
AP News
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OPEC+ confirmed its decision to raise output by over 2.5 million barrels per day, causing oil prices to dip (~$70/barrel), though geopolitical tension continued to provide some upside support
Reuters
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Reuters
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Global investment insights highlight strategies around AI, defence tech, trade diversification, energy volatility, and a long-term focus on healthcare innovations given ageing demographics. These topics are projected to dominate portfolios in FY 2026
theaustralian.com.au
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Trade Policy & Strategic Chance for India
The newly imposed 25% U.S. tariffs on Indian exports—in effect since August 1—are expected to impact IT services, pharma, textiles, engineering goods, and auto-parts sectors significantly
The Times of India
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The Times of India
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The Economic Times
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. Industrialists like Harsh Goenka argue India should pivot toward European and ASEAN markets, viewing the challenge as a strategic opportunity to diversify and reduce exposure to U.S. risk
The Economic Times
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EV Manufacturing Expands: VinFast in India
Vietnam’s EV maker VinFast officially launched operations at its ₹500 million plant in Tamil Nadu, targeting 50,000 vehicles annually (scalable up to 150,000). The firm plans aggressive network expansion across 27 Indian cities, aiming to differentiate on local production and cost advantage in India’s fast-growing EV market
AP News
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What’s Ahead This Week
RBI policy boil over on August 6, with implications for rates and liquidity.
A flurry of Q1 FY26 corporate earnings from Bharti Airtel, SBI, Delhivery, and other large caps.
Global economic calendars include U.S. ISM Services PMI, Bank of England rate decision, Brazilian inflation, and FX reserves data from South Africa and China
Business Standard
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India Today
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The Times of India
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Outlook & Strategy
For investors and analysts:
A volatile but opportunity-rich start to August. Key themes include navigating U.S. tariff fallout, global rate expectations, strategic diversification, and recurring interest in domestic regulatory reforms. With earnings and the RBI’s policy ahead, short-term caution mixing with selective opportunity is the order of the day.
For corporate strategists:
Focus on trade attunement—pivoting toward Europe and ASEAN; reinforcing supply chains with local production; and preparing for regulatory inflections courtesy of new SEBI reforms and tariff policies.
Let me know if you’d like sector‑wise deep dives, company-specific analysis, or insights into fixed-income or commodity trends.
Related news
The Economic Times
Sensex jumps over 200 pts, Nifty tops 24,600 on global cues; auto, metal stocks rise
Today
Reuters
India regulator calls for structural reforms in derivatives trading, FT reports
Today
AP News
Vietnam automaker Vinfast opens factory in India, eyeing growth in Asia